The Concept of GCI

The Global Crisis Index (GCI) serves as an indicator for assessing the development of global crises. It is calculated using published key figures and reports from internationally renowned institutions.

GCI is the world’s first statistical rating model that integrates various indicators and sources into a single overall risk indicator. This provides insights into global crisis trends and identifies individual contributions of different crisis categories.

Derive a trend for global crisis

The specially developed rating model known as the GCI - Global Crisis Index serves as an indicator for assessing the development of the global crisis. The GCI is calculated from published key figures and reports from internationally renowned institutions. The various key figures are weighted and condensed into the overall GCI figure. This makes it possible to derive a trend for global crisis development, identify the contribution of each individual crisis category, and compare it with the previous period.

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Overall risk indicator

Many renowned institutions and scientists are studying the development of the various global risks and delivering remarkable results. With the GCI, a statistical rating model has been developed that considers many different indicators and sources and condenses them into an overall risk indicator. The Global Crisis Index is the world’s first indicator for the development of major global crises.

Trend Analysis - Risk Contribution - Comparison

Global Crisis Analysis & Aggregation

The Global Crisis Index defines four main global crisis categories:

  • Climate change and environmental disasters
  • Economic and social issues
  • Migration and wars
  • Population growth

 

The GCI is calculated in two steps:

  1. Analysis of individual categories
    Developments within each crisis category are analyzed and compared to previous periods.

  2. Aggregation into overall GCI
    Individual results from the crisis categories are condensed into the overall Global Crisis Index, allowing each category's contribution to be clearly identified and assessed.

 

Example sources:

  • World Population Dashboard — United Nations Population Fund (UNO)
  • Global Risk Report — Word Economic Forum
  • Climate Reports — United Nations
  • Global Report — UNHCR
  • Global Conflict Tracker — Council on Foreign Relations
  • Poverty Reports — Statista
  • Global Economic Outlook — Capital Economics
  • World Health Statistics — WHO